I don't think it is as easy as simply comparing fatality rates between lockdown areas and non-lock down areas. There are a lot of factors at play such as population density, transit systems, work environments, etc. You mentioned Sweden. The entire country has a population density of 64 people per square mile. The US is 94 per square mile. New York City is 26403 per square mile. Now Sweden has about 18% more people than NYC (10.2 million vs. 8.4 million) and Sweden has just under 19k cases right now and New York City has 156,000 cases. New York City was on lockdown and cases are in decline. Sweden's cases continue to climb.
However, folks are forced to work with the data that they do have.
An interesting set of statistics just came out today from Governor Cuomo from NY. Some of the after action reports I mentioned that are beginning to come out.
I'll quote some paragraphs from the story and provide a link. It's amazing that almost 2/3 of NY Covid-19 patients were the very ones that were forced to stay at home.
Hospitals were asked to document where their most recent COVID-19 patients had been staying before admission, Cuomo said, and 66 percent came from their own homes.
About 18 percent came from nursing homes, 4 percent from assisted-living facilities, 2 percent were homeless, 2 percent had been at other "congregate" settings, fewer than 1 percent were prison or jail inmates, and 8 percent were classified as "other."
"This is a surprise," the governor told reporters at the Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research in Manhasset, New York. "Sixty-six percent of the people were at home, which is shocking to us."
The data came from 113 hospitals reporting information on patients being treated over three recent days, according to state health officials.
"They're not working; they're not traveling," Cuomo said of these recently hospitalized coronavirus patients. "We were thinking that maybe we were going to find a higher percent of essential employees who were getting sick because they were going to work — that these may be nurses, doctors, transit workers. That's not the case. They were predominantly at home."
The state also reported that among these recently hospitalized patients, only 17 percent are currently employed, while 37 percent are retirees and 46 percent are unemployed.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-new...shocking-two-thirds-patients-recently-hospitalized-ny-had-been-staying-n1201421
I think there were a lot of what-if's and modeling that drove the politicians and media into panic mode with early statistics that are now being questioned.
Sweden is doing fine according to them, with herd immunity developing and minimum restrictions that the US and other countries had to endure.
“In major parts of Sweden, around Stockholm, we have reached a plateau (in new cases), and we already see the effect of herd immunity, and in a few weeks, we’ll see even more of the effects of that. And in the rest of the country, the situation is stable,” Dr. Anders Tegnell, chief epidemiologist at Sweden’s Public Health Agency, said in a statement.
https://www.news-medical.net/news/2...h-e28098herd-immunitye28099-in-weeks-as-the-country-resists-total-lockdown.aspx
I'm sure as more data and statistics roll out, we will gain a whole lot more knowledge about this virus and our future with it. I don't believe its going away.
